Probability that the storm center will be within 60 nmi, 120 nmi, and 240 nmi of Freeport, Grand Bahama: 26°33´N 78°42´W. Probabilities at intermediate times may be higher than those shown. The probabilities are given in percent ("<1" means "less than one percent probability") and are updated whenever a new forecast is received.
| Name | Date | Time | Relative Time | 60 nmi | 120 nmi | 240 nmi | Wind | |||||||||||
| Now | Fcst | T | I | C | T | I | C | T | I | C | ||||||||
| IKE | 2008-09-08 | 06:00 UT | +16 h | +21 h | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 125 | ||||
| IKE | 2008-09-08 | 12:00 UT | +22 h | +27 h | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 104 | ||||
| IKE | 2008-09-08 | 18:00 UT | +28 h | +33 h | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 085 | ||||
| IKE | 2008-09-09 | 00:00 UT | +34 h | +39 h | <1 | <1 | <1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 33 | 36 | 075 | ||||
| IKE | 2008-09-09 | 03:00 UT | +37 h | +42 h | <1 | <1 | <1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 32 | 39 | 070 | ||||
| IKE | 2008-09-09 | 06:00 UT | +40 h | +45 h | <1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 31 | 41 | 065 | ||||
| IKE | 2008-09-09 | 18:00 UT | +52 h | +57 h | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 47 | 072 | ||||
| IKE | 2008-09-10 | 06:00 UT | +64 h | +69 h | <1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 26 | 47 | 080 | ||||
| IKE | 2008-09-10 | 18:00 UT | +76 h | +81 h | <1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 47 | 087 | ||||
| IKE | 2008-09-11 | 06:00 UT | +88 h | +93 h | <1 | <1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 095 | ||||
| IKE | 2008-09-11 | 18:00 UT | +100 h | +105 h | <1 | <1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 097 | ||||
| IKE | 2008-09-12 | 06:00 UT | +112 h | +117 h | <1 | <1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 100 | ||||
IKE probabilities based on forecast data from 2008-09-07 09:00 UT.
At 2008-09-07 12:00 UT (roughly 5 hours ago), IKE was 464 nmi SE of Freeport, Grand Bahama
Warning! These data may not be accurate. Do not rely on them for life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property. The strike probabilities have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances.
Description of the strike probabilty calculation (168 kB PostScript file). (PDF version).
