2008-Jul-27 00:26:42 UT

Tropical Cyclone Strike Probabilities for Hong Kong: 22°30´N 114°18´E

Probability that the storm center will be within 60 nmi, 120 nmi, and 240 nmi of Hong Kong: 22°30´N 114°18´E. Probabilities at intermediate times may be higher than those shown. The probabilities are given in percent ("<1" means "less than one percent probability") and are updated whenever a new forecast is received.

NameDateTimeRelative Time60 nmi120 nmi240 nmiWind
NowFcstTICTICTIC
FUNG-WONG 2008-07-28 06:00 UT +30 h +36 h <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 2 2 2 064
FUNG-WONG 2008-07-28 12:00 UT +36 h +42 h <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 8 8 8 064
FUNG-WONG 2008-07-28 18:00 UT +42 h +48 h <1 <1 <1 1 1 1 14 15 15 064
FUNG-WONG 2008-07-29 00:00 UT +48 h +54 h <1 <1 <1 2 2 2 16 17 19 059
FUNG-WONG 2008-07-29 06:00 UT +54 h +60 h <1 <1 <1 2 3 3 17 18 22 054
FUNG-WONG 2008-07-29 18:00 UT +66 h +72 h <1 1 1 3 4 5 16 20 25 045
FUNG-WONG 2008-07-30 06:00 UT +78 h +84 h <1 1 1 3 4 6 14 16 25 032
FUNG-WONG 2008-07-30 18:00 UT +90 h +96 h <1 1 2 2 3 6 11 14 25 020

FUNG-WONG probabilities based on forecast data from 2008-07-26 18:00 UT.
At 2008-07-26 18:00 UT (roughly 6 hours ago), FUNG-WONG was 634 nmi E of Hong Kong

Instructions


Warning! These data may not be accurate. Do not rely on them for life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property. The strike probabilities have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances.

Description of the strike probabilty calculation (168 kB PostScript file). (PDF version).

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