2009-Nov-24 16:36:09 UT

Tropical Cyclone Strike Probabilities for Naha, Okinawa: 26°11´N 127°39´E

Probability that the storm center will be within 60 nmi, 120 nmi, and 240 nmi of Naha, Okinawa: 26°11´N 127°39´E. Probabilities at intermediate times may be higher than those shown. The probabilities are given in percent ("<1" means "less than one percent probability") and are updated whenever a new forecast is received.

NameDateTimeRelative Time60 nmi120 nmi240 nmiWind
NowFcstTICTICTIC
NIDA 2009-11-28 12:00 UT +92 h +96 h <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 110
NIDA 2009-11-29 00:00 UT +104 h +108 h <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 1 1 1 110
NIDA 2009-11-29 12:00 UT +116 h +120 h <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 3 3 3 110

NIDA probabilities based on forecast data from 2009-11-24 12:00 UT.
At 2009-11-24 12:00 UT (roughly 4 hours ago), NIDA was 1431 nmi SE of Naha, Okinawa

Instructions


Warning! These data may not be accurate. Do not rely on them for life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property. The strike probabilities have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances.

Description of the strike probabilty calculation (168 kB PostScript file). (PDF version).

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metcalf@akala.ifa.hawaii.edu